.png)
John Nelsons British Masters Golf Tips
Jordan Smith 20/1 3pts EW 8 PLS
Alexander Bjork 30/1 2pts EW 8PLS
Max Kieffer 50/1-1pt EW 10PLS
Guido Migliozzo 66/1 1pt EW 8PLS
Ritchie Ramsay 66/1 1pts EW 8PLS
Justin Walters 100/1 0.5pt EW 10PLS
Matthew Baldwin 200/1 0.5pts EW 8 PLS
COURSE
We're back to the popular venue of The Belfry, renowned for Europe winning the Ryder Cup here in 1985 and 2002, most recently we had Rasmus Hojgaard in 2020, Blandy breaking his Maiden tag here in 2021 and popular winner Thorbjorn Olesen draining that massive putt on the last to snatch victory from Soderberg last year. The course is a par 72 measuring 7,328 yards, the course has 12 par 4s, 3par 5s and 3 pas 3s, and the greens are a mix of Bent/Poa.
This is a parkland-style course with water in play on half the course, there are tight fairways with bunkers to catch the slightly wayward drives or lush rough to catch the errant drives,
there are several tough holes that par would be a good return.
One such hole is the 4th which is a tough par 4 with a tight drive and bunkers on either side. Water awaits the short pitches and trees at the back await the long approach.
Another tough hole is the 8th, its the hardest one on the course historically, its a par 4 -428 yards with a narrow fairway, water running down the left, trees to the right, the green is guarded by water and both sides have bunkers awaiting a wayward iron shot.
My favourite hole is the risk-reward 10th, renowned for both Seve and Torrence driving to the green in the 1985 Ryder Cup, the drive requires a high fade but water is waiting for anyone not accurate enough.
Key Stats
SG TTG
SG APR
SG PUTT
SG BALL STRIKING
SG TOTAL DRIVING
JORDAN SMITH 20/1 3PTS EW 8 PLS BET365
Jordan is on a revival mission for the season, he's been out of sorts of late but his last two rounds show me he's back on the up with his last two performances being not too shabby. He finished T20th in the US Open gaining 1.96 on approach only bettered by a couple of players and 1.69 OTT, and his other good rounds came at the Porche European Open where he finished T6th, he won on this track and it has similar features to the Brabazon.
Jordan stats read 9th-OTT 6th-DRI ACC, 6th-SGTTG, 1st-GIR, 35th-APR, 36th-ARG, 122nd-PUTT. stats look good but the putting needs to improve, greens are the same as where he won in Hamburg, Star man for me this week.
ALEXANDER BJORK 30/1 -2PTS EW 8PLS BET365
Bjork has been steady most of the season without winning, he's had a few close calls. In 2023 he's had five top 10s, three top 20s and three top 30s, the worst he's fared all season is T42nd, with no missed cuts.
Alex is renowned for his all-round game and playing the Brabazon he will need all his skill sets to win this, he last played in the mixed competition finishing T7th, with three rounds in the 60s. As course form goes he missed the cut last year but in 2021 he finished T30th.
MAXIMILLIAN KIEFFER 50/1-1PT EW 10PLS BF
I'm sticking with my man Max, such a rollercoaster ride last week, coming into the last round id given up on him, then he shoots 68 with him looking in good shape until he bogeyed the 16, and then he pars the last which was a good Eagle/Birdie chance.
Max had done well recently and should consider himself unlucky, he T2 at the Porche European Open which is a similar course fit, he has three top 10s this year two top 20s and five top 40s, last week he was striking it well off the tee with him 20th and he was 21st TTG, his putter was solid with him 6th, two weeks back he was 6th SGAPP. The last time he won was last year in the D+D CZECH Masters, so he's got no pressure on his back and can show how good he can be.
GUIDO MIGLIOZZI 66/1-1PT EW 8PLS BYL
The Italian stallion is showing signs of the good old self, as you know Guido has been either hit or miss this year, you never know what your getting, but recently the tide is turning and after two missed cuts he T10th at the BMW, he played solid with all his stats pointing to an Italian winner at the Belfry.
His last win came at the hard Le Golf National where he beat Rasmus Hojgaard by one shot, he hit some magnificent shots that weekend, and I can see him coming down the stretch hitting one of those solid long irons into the 18th.
RITCHIE RAMSAY 66/1-1PT EW 8PLS 365
Last year Ritchie came down the 18th with a chance to win, but going for the green he put it in the water, so he's out for redemption this year. Ramsay has won four times on the DP Tour and Trophee Hassan is a tree-lined course similar to the Brabazon, his last five comps read T4th-T39th-T7th-T53rd and T67th, definitely on the right track for a win. Ritchie is a seasoned vet and knows his way around this track and can plot his way to victory. His stats this year read as 20th-DRIV ACC, 55th-SGTTG, 44th-SGAPR, 107TH-SGATG, 61st-SGPUTT, yes the stats don't read the best, but I'm a big believer in current form and this man is one the right track.
JUSTIN WALTERS 100/1-0.5PTS EW 10PLS BF
South African world number 379 is our man Walters, he's heading back to the Brabazon where he finished T3rd last year, he's played really consistent golf without winning and twinned with his numbers TTG and APR have been solid the past few months.
MATTHEW BALDWIN 200/1 0.5PTS EW 8 PLS WH
Matthew is quietly playing well and could go under the radar this week, his recent form is ok but nothing to shout about, it reads T73rd -T29th-T52nd- T21st- T26th, some decent golf played without winning, already a winner this year on the DP Tour in south Africa the world number 268 won on a links-style course.
His recent TTG and APR stats are solid which are my main two stats to win this comp, he's 21st SG APR and 43rd SG TTG respectively, we do need other parts of his game to come together but at 200s he's worth chancing.
Weekly live tip spreadsheet access. Updated in real-time, it's the only place online to keep track of the most tipped golfers for each PGA & DP World Tour event.
Comments