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Omega European Masters Golf Tips
Antoine Rozner 35/1 - 1.75pt e/w 8 places – Bet 365
Adri Arnaus 50/1 - 1.25pt e/w 8 places – Bet 365
Sebastian Soderberg 80/1 - 1pt e/w 7 places – Skybet
Ashun Wu 90/1 - 0.75pt e/w 8 places – Bet 365
Pep Angles 170/1 - 0.25pt e/w 8 places – Bet 365
Gavin Green broke hearts in the golf betting community last week, as a costly double bogey on the back 9 on Sunday denied us the chance to start this article with 2 winners out of 2. Last week despite the winner, bombers dominated the first page of the leaderboard but I’m not expecting that to be the case this week. This week’s winner is likely to be the guy who hits the best approach shots and deals best with the ball travelling further due to being at altitude. Distance is not required here, and if you don’t go into the trees hitting fairways isn’t required either.
I’m quite happy to ignore all those at the top of the market here, most of them gain a lot of strokes by being excellent drivers of the golf ball, a skill as mentioned earlier not required here. Rasmus Hojgaard makes the most appeal having won this last year and when playing at his best is a supreme approach player. However, he’s not been at his best since the British Masters back in May. So it’s Antoine Rozner who’s trusted with the top selection once again, his approach play has been the best in the field over the last 3 months, and was the best of those who made the cut last week. On debut last year he managed a solid 13th place finishing with a 62 showing he has the potential to go really low here. 35/1 is more than fair for someone who only needs a good putting week to win.
Next up is someone who the market seems to be struggling to price up, Adri Arnaus as short as 28/1 in places, but available at 50/1 with Bet 365, the big-hitting Spaniard won’t need his supreme driving this week but his approach play is actually severely underrated. He gained over a stroke a round at both major tournaments he played this year and when on song can hit it as close as anyone. A 6th place finish here in 2019 to go alongside a 2nd at the Kenya Open and a successful stint on the Alps Tour shows he has no problem adjusting to playing at altitude. He’s the third highest ranked player in the field and at 50/1 it feels like a steal.
2019 winner of this event Sebastian Soderberg makes the selection list for the second week in a row. While he disappointed and missed the cut last week, his approach play remained at a high standard, and it’s only a poorly performing putter that let him down. A winner of the Kenya Open also at altitude means he ticks all the course requirement tick boxes. He’s putted well here before and if his approach play can continue to perform it wouldn’t be a massive surprise to see him go well again, I was expecting 50/1 so opening shows of 80/1 make big appeal.
Ashun Wu is the next man on the shortlist, like Arnaus and Soderberg no stranger to playing at altitude being the winner of this year's Kenya Open, he also has 2 top 10s at this venue in 2017 and 2018. He’s tidy off the tee and the 25th ranked player in approach this season on tour makes a strong course fit case for Wu. His form has been a bit patchy since his Kenya Open win which has led him to drift out to 90/1, but it was fairly patchy before his win as well so he is the type to pop up at the top of the leaderboard unannounced.
Finally, rounding off the selections is longshot Pep Angles. He’s started to produce his best approach play performances of the season over the last few weeks and he also has a top 10 in the often mentioned in this article Kenya Open showing his altitude credentials. At 170/1 he might not win, but I certainly think he’s got the potential to be in and around that top 10.
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