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World Wide Technology Mayakoba Championship Golf Tips
Billy Horschel 18/1 2.5pts - 8 Places
Jason Day 40/1 1.5pts - 8 Places
K-H Lee 45/1 1pt - 8 Places
Seamus Power wins his second PGA Tour event in Bermuda, a pre-tournament 22/1 chance, admittedly I’m a little bit annoyed I didn’t put him up as he looked a solid choice and could’ve arguably gone off favourite, we move on. This week we return to Mexico where Viktor Hovland is looking to win this tournament for a third consecutive year, while PGA TOUR Player of the Year Scottie Scheffler and two-time major winner Collin Morikawa also are teeing it up in Mexico. In total there are ten of the world’s top 40 teeing it up this week. Once again, we’re at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba which is a short 7,034 yard par 71. Birdies are very common at Mayakoba, with the winning score averaging at 20 under since 2013 so we can expect another low score in this renewal.
Two important stats to look out for this week are percentage of fairways found and greens in regulation. This is evident with the last four winners of this event all ranking inside the top 25 for percentage of fairways found and all ranking inside the top 10 for greens in regulation. The green complexes at El Camaleón are actually ranked amongst the easiest on Tour for putting average so you don’t generally have to be an amazing putter to win here. A quick stat before I go into my players to follow, over the last eleven renewals, only once has a player come from below third place after the third round to win the event so it seems important to keep pace with the leaders throughout the week.
Billy Horschel 18/1
First up this week for me is world number 16 Billy Horschel, I absolutely love his chances this week. In a year where he made his President’s Cup debut which was his first National Team appearance and also won the Memorial in convincing fashion. Billy has two previous top tens at El Camaleón and two other top 25s. He also comes into this tournament in solid form with his last three starts yielding three top ten finishes and one of those was in the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship which didn’t suit him. Billy will be desperate to play in the Ryder Cup next year and what better way to boost his chances with another PGA Tour win this week at a course we know definitely suits his game.
Jason Day 40/1
Next up is a player I put up a few weeks ago in the CJ Cup and that’s back to form major winner Jason Day. First of all, Day hit 76% of greens in the CJ Cup at Congaree and hit 75% of fairways and finished T11 in that event. He finished 8th the week before in the Shriner’s Open, so comes into this week in good form after a really rough spell littered with injuries. Amongst players in this field based on the last 24 rounds, Day ranks 10th SG: T2G and 15th Off-the-tee, clearly hitting the ball to a high standard and also driving the ball well which definitely counts for a lot round this course. Day is looking for his first win in over four years and I don’t think it’s too far away and I like his chances this week.
K-H Lee 45/1
Next up is another in-form man, K-H Lee has had a really solid year which has included his President’s Cup debut where he won two points for his team and also his second PGA Tour win by winning the AT&T Byron Nelson for a second year in a row. Either side of the President’s Cup, he has a third-place finish in the CJ Cup and also a top five in the BMW Championship, the second of the three FedEx Cup events. Those are two high-class events and he has established himself as a certain member of the world’s top fifty players. In his top three at the CJ Cup, Lee ranked 1st on Approach and 3rd T2G, encouraging stats coming into this week and I think his third PGA Tour win could come in Mexico on Sunday.
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